{"id":12746,"date":"2018-08-04T09:23:27","date_gmt":"2018-08-04T13:23:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/?p=12746"},"modified":"2018-08-04T09:23:27","modified_gmt":"2018-08-04T13:23:27","slug":"july-contracts-mixed-signals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/2018\/08\/04\/july-contracts-mixed-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"July Contracts: Mixed Signals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018.png\" alt=\"2018-08-02 Hartford County Single Family Contracts in July 2018\" width=\"531\" height=\"355\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12747\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018.png 531w, https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018-300x201.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 531px) 100vw, 531px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Hartford County finished July with 868 single-family home contracts, a decline of more than 15% from the July 2017 total. On a year-to-date basis the County is a little less than 4% behind where it was at this point last year.<\/p>\n<p>The comparison month, July 2017, was an outlier in last year&#8217;s data. The chart above shows that the deal total unexpectedly jumped last July, unlike the total from July 2016. Because of the odd behavior in the 2017 data, we&#8217;re inclined to not worry about last month&#8217;s result appearing to be such a big miss. 2018 continues to be a solid year, if not quite as active as 2017.<\/p>\n<p>Scanning through the year-to-date performance by town in the table below, it looks like most of the towns in the Farmington Valley are having a better year than last year. On the other hand, some of the urban towns that we repeatedly highlighted last year as strong performers are showing signs that this year is a step backwards. <\/p>\n<p>Inventory levels vary widely from town to town, but remain on the lower end of the spectrum. It&#8217;s possible that low inventory levels are acting as a drag on the market. <\/p>\n<p>Consider East Hartford, which is more than 22% behind last year&#8217;s pace for deals. They are currently at 2.3 months of inventory, which is a seller&#8217;s market. Buyers need a reasonable selection of homes to choose from as they consider their options. And perhaps there just isn&#8217;t a good enough selection in some of the towns with low inventory. Greater Hartford is unfortunately not the type of market where people will buy any property at any price. <\/p>\n<p>All of the towns that have more than 10% gains in the deal count have inventory levels of at least 4.8 months, putting them in the neutral market category. It&#8217;s a trend that we&#8217;ll monitor as we think about how to put the decrease in deals in proper context.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018-by-Town.png\" alt=\"2018-08-02 Hartford County Single Family Contracts in July 2018 by Town\" width=\"598\" height=\"752\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12748\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018-by-Town.png 598w, https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/08\/2018-08-02-Hartford-County-Single-Family-Contracts-in-July-2018-by-Town-239x300.png 239w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 598px) 100vw, 598px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hartford County finished July with 868 single-family home contracts, a decline of more than 15% from the July 2017 total. On a year-to-date basis the County is a little less than 4% behind where it was at this point last year. The comparison month, July 2017, was an outlier in last year&#8217;s data. The chart above shows that the deal total unexpectedly jumped last July, unlike the total from July 2016. Because of the odd<\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a class=\"myButt three\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/2018\/08\/04\/july-contracts-mixed-signals\/\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1568,1571,1584,1591],"tags":[2484],"class_list":["post-12746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-buying","category-contracts","category-market-statistics","category-selling","tag-market-stats"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12746","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12746"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12746\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12757,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12746\/revisions\/12757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12746"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12746"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12746"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}