{"id":6485,"date":"2011-04-05T08:25:18","date_gmt":"2011-04-05T13:25:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/?p=6485"},"modified":"2011-04-05T08:25:18","modified_gmt":"2011-04-05T13:25:18","slug":"march-contracts-lag-cause-for-concern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/2011\/04\/05\/march-contracts-lag-cause-for-concern\/","title":{"rendered":"March Contracts Lag: Cause for Concern?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Negotiated contracts on single-family homes in March 2011 were down about 24% from the year-previous monthly tally.<\/strong>  Wait a minute &#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/2011\/03\/04\/february-contracts-show-single-family-snoozefest\/\">that sounds awfully familiar<\/a>.  For the second month in a row the market was only three-quarters as active as last year.  Does this establish a trend?  Is it cause for concern?<\/p>\n<p>Although we may be seeing the beginning of a trend, we don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s cause for concern.  <strong>In fact, this looks like a normal year!<\/strong>  Last year was different, special really; buyers were out early.  This year we got off to a more typical slow start.  The following chart shows that we&#8217;re tracking 2009 very closely, and actually seeing more traditional real estate seasonality.<\/p>\n<p><center><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-HCC-Contracts-by-Month.jpg\" alt=\"Hartford County Contracts by Month\" title=\"Hartford County Contracts by Month\" width=\"521\" height=\"371\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-6487\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-HCC-Contracts-by-Month.jpg 521w, https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-HCC-Contracts-by-Month-300x213.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 521px) 100vw, 521px\" \/><\/center><\/p>\n<p>The next couple of data points will be very interesting.  Will we continue to follow 2009?  Will the peak of the spring market even come close to the tax-credit-driven 2010 peak in April?  <\/p>\n<p>Below is the data for the individual towns.  We don&#8217;t think that the comparisons to last year are very meaningful, so we&#8217;ll skip the usual commentary about the individual towns.  However, we will print the chart so that there is a continuous record of the data, and just in case it&#8217;s needed as a reference if others report on year-over-year results for the month.  <\/p>\n<p><strong>Just so you&#8217;re prepared &#8230; the real estate markets will look fantastically vibrant and active compared to last year once we get into May for contracts written, and July for deals closed.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><center><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-RES-Contracts-for-March.jpg\" alt=\"Hartford County Single-Family Contracts for March\" title=\"Hartford County Single-Family Contracts for March\" width=\"355\" height=\"580\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-6488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-RES-Contracts-for-March.jpg 355w, https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/04\/2011-04-04-RES-Contracts-for-March-183x300.jpg 183w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 355px) 100vw, 355px\" \/><\/center><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Negotiated contracts on single-family homes in March 2011 were down about 24% from the year-previous monthly tally. Wait a minute &#8230; that sounds awfully familiar. For the second month in a row the market was only three-quarters as active as last year. Does this establish a trend? Is it cause for concern? Although we may be seeing the beginning of a trend, we don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s cause for concern. In fact, this looks like a<\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a class=\"myButt three\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/2011\/04\/05\/march-contracts-lag-cause-for-concern\/\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1568,1571,1584,1591],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-buying","category-contracts","category-market-statistics","category-selling"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6485"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6485\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6500,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6485\/revisions\/6500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.amybergquist.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}